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Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Resolves Jun 25, 2026·$11.4k 24h vol·elections
2 comments·$150.0k total volume·Open for 233 days

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

44%-44.5%

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Understand this market

This market asks whether a specific tax proposal will officially make it onto California's November 2026 statewide ballot — not whether it will pass, just whether voters will get to vote on it. The tax in question would be a one-time charge aimed only at people whose total wealth is at least $1 billion. A Yes means Californians will see this measure on their ballot in November; a No means the proposal never made it that far.

OutcomeYesNo
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Order Book

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

PriceSharesTotal
54.0¢331$179
53.0¢134$71
51.0¢30$15
50.0¢44$22
49.0¢185$90
48.0¢51$24
47.0¢164$77
46.0¢58$27
45.0¢9$4
44.0¢37$16
57.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
43.0¢104$45
42.0¢889$373
37.0¢216$80
36.0¢31$11
35.0¢254$89
31.0¢145$45
30.0¢100$30
25.0¢456$114
24.0¢2.7k$653
23.0¢1.4k$320
$1.8k bids$526 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

44%