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Elon Musk # tweets July 11 - July 13, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 11 - July 13, 2026?

Resolves Jul 13, 2026·$201.1k 24h vol·politics
$302.7k total volume·Open for 3 days

<40

71%+30.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times does Elon Musk post on X during a specific 48-hour window, from noon on July 11 to noon on July 13, 2026? Under 40 posts means a relatively quiet stretch for him; 40–64 is a moderate level of activity; 65 or more would be an unusually high-volume weekend. It's essentially a bet on how active he is on his own platform during those two days.

OutcomeYesNo
<40
40-64
65-89
90-114
115-139
140-164
165-189
190-214
215-239
240+

Order Book

<40

PriceSharesTotal
81.0¢815$660
80.0¢1.5k$1.2k
79.0¢1.9k$1.5k
78.0¢1.5k$1.1k
77.0¢2.0k$1.5k
76.0¢347$264
75.0¢451$338
74.0¢991$733
73.0¢249$182
72.0¢266$191
72.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
69.0¢153$106
68.0¢223$152
67.0¢120$80
66.0¢68$45
65.0¢400$260
64.0¢393$252
63.0¢132$83
62.0¢536$332
61.0¢805$491
60.0¢432$259
$2.1k bids$7.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 11 12:00 PM ET to July 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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<40

70%