← Markets
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$43.2k 24h vol·politics
$239.0k total volume·Open for 11 days

July 24

88%+41.0%
OutcomeYesNo
July 24
July 31
July 13
July 15
July 27
July 29
July 22
July 23
July 14
July 17

Order Book

July 24

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢3.7k$3.6k
98.0¢1.6k$1.5k
97.0¢673$653
96.0¢250$240
95.0¢11$10
93.0¢116$108
92.0¢5$5
91.0¢40$36
90.0¢288$259
86.0¢last trade
4.0¢ spread
86.0¢5$4
85.0¢5$4
84.0¢183$154
83.0¢39$32
81.0¢38$30
80.0¢138$110
76.0¢65$49
72.0¢98$71
68.0¢102$69
62.0¢129$80
$605 bids$6.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

July 24

88%