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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?

Resolves Jun 14, 2026·$45.7k 24h vol·tech
$53.1k total volume·Open for 2 days

17°C

98%+55.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Amsterdam get on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature of the day at Schiphol Airport — and whether that peak lands at 16°C, 17°C, or 18°C. Think of it like guessing the afternoon high on a weather app, but for one specific day. The market currently leans toward 17°C (around 49%) as the most likely outcome, with 18°C close behind at 41%.

OutcomeYesNo
17°C
18°C
19°C
21°C
20°C
13°C or below
14°C
15°C
16°C
22°C

Order Book

17°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢848$847
99.8¢119$119
99.7¢50$50
99.2¢10$10
99.0¢317$314
98.9¢8$8
2.0¢last trade
1.8¢ spread
97.1¢556$540
97.0¢21$21
96.9¢10$10
96.7¢8$8
96.6¢200$193
80.1¢13$10
80.0¢40$32
77.0¢21$16
75.0¢40$30
55.0¢30$16
$876 bids$1.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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17°C

97%