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Highest temperature in Beijing on June 10?

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 10?

Resolves Jun 10, 2026·$86.5k 24h vol
$102.4k total volume·Open for 2 days

27°C

100%+83.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 10, 2026, what will the hottest moment of the day be at Beijing's main airport, measured in whole degrees Celsius? Each option — 27°C, 28°C, 29°C, and so on — represents a possible peak temperature for that day. Think of it like guessing the high on a weather forecast, but for one specific date about a year from now. The market currently puts nearly all its weight on 27°C as the most likely daily high.

OutcomeYesNo
27°C
20°C or below
21°C
22°C
23°C
24°C
25°C
26°C
28°C
29°C

Order Book

27°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢last trade
99.9¢860$859
99.7¢129$129
99.6¢405$403
99.5¢405$403
99.4¢171$170
99.3¢230$228
99.2¢230$228
99.1¢90$89
99.0¢351$347
89.1¢27$24
$2.9k bids$0 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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27°C

100%