Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below
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Understand this market
This market is simply asking: how hot will Chengdu get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature land at 31°C or below (roughly 88°F or cooler), hit exactly 32°C (about 90°F), or reach 33°C (about 91°F)? Think of it as a thermometer poll — whichever bracket contains the afternoon high wins. The market currently leans toward the cooler end, with 59% odds on 31°C or below.
Order Book
31°C or below
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Read the full market guide →31°C or below
63%