← Markets
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$8.8k 24h vol
$9.8k total volume·Open for 1 days

29°C

39%+8.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Hong Kong get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day — and which degree-Celsius bucket that number falls into. A win for '29°C' means the peak temperature that day was somewhere in the 29°C range (like 29.0 to 29.9°C). It's essentially a weather forecast frozen into a specific date, turned into a question about which temperature band the thermometer peaks in.

OutcomeYesNo
29°C
28°C
30°C
27°C
31°C
32°C
26°C
33°C or higher
25°C
24°C

Order Book

29°C

PriceSharesTotal
49.0¢86$42
48.0¢6$3
47.0¢85$40
46.0¢104$48
45.0¢65$29
44.0¢5$2
43.0¢5$2
42.0¢61$26
41.0¢70$29
40.0¢6$2
63.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
37.0¢110$41
36.0¢70$25
35.0¢13$5
34.0¢26$9
32.0¢30$10
30.0¢25$8
28.0¢20$6
27.0¢30$8
26.0¢54$14
25.0¢52$13
$137 bids$223 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Read the full market guide →

29°C

40%