Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
34°C
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Understand this market
This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Madrid? Specifically, it's asking whether the peak temperature at Madrid's main airport weather station hits 33°C, 34°C, or 35°C — think of those as roughly 91°F, 93°F, and 95°F respectively. The market currently puts a 64% chance on 34°C being the peak, 30% on 35°C, and 5% on 33°C. Early June in Madrid is warm and can get genuinely hot, so these are all plausible summer readings.
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34°C
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Read the full market guide →34°C
69%