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Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?

Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?

Resolves Jun 14, 2026·$18.8k 24h vol
$21.7k total volume·Open for 2 days

32°C

100%+73.1%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, how hot will Manila get at its peak? Specifically, it asks whether the single highest temperature reading of that day at the airport weather station will land in the 32°C range (about 90°F), the 33°C range (about 91°F), or the 34°C range (about 93°F). Think of it as a bracket — whichever temperature band the day's high falls into wins. The market currently leans toward 32°C, with about 54% odds, but 33°C is also considered quite plausible at 31%.

OutcomeYesNo
32°C
33°C
34°C
36°C
27°C or below
28°C
29°C
30°C
31°C
35°C

Order Book

32°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢870$869
0.1¢last trade
0.6¢ spread
99.3¢17$17
99.1¢10$10
99.0¢71$70
98.7¢5$5
98.5¢35$35
97.7¢25$24
97.6¢20$20
97.5¢20$20
97.0¢8$8
91.0¢33$30
$238 bids$869 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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32°C

99%