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Highest temperature in Munich on June 13?

Highest temperature in Munich on June 13?

Resolves Jun 13, 2026·$16.2k 24h vol
$24.0k total volume·Open for 2 days

25°C

45%+21.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will the peak temperature be in Munich on June 13, 2026 — specifically 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C? Each option represents a single degree on the Celsius scale (roughly 75–79°F), and participants are guessing which exact whole-number reading will be the highest of the day. A 'Yes' on 25°C means the day's peak tops out at exactly 25 — not 24, not 26. It's a precise, narrow question about a single summer day's weather at Munich Airport.

OutcomeYesNo
25°C
26°C
24°C
27°C or higher
23°C
22°C
21°C
17°C or below
18°C
19°C

Order Book

25°C

PriceSharesTotal
57.0¢116$66
55.0¢22$12
53.0¢78$41
52.0¢50$26
51.0¢13$7
50.0¢260$130
49.0¢436$214
48.0¢954$458
47.0¢143$67
46.0¢27$12
44.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
44.0¢91$40
43.0¢155$67
42.0¢250$105
40.0¢50$20
39.0¢250$98
38.0¢500$190
37.0¢8$3
36.0¢105$38
33.0¢20$7
32.0¢20$6
$573 bids$1.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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25°C

47%