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Highest temperature in NYC on June 12?

Highest temperature in NYC on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$20.7k 24h vol
$22.9k total volume·Open for 1 days

94-95°F

43%+7.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, how hot will it get in New York City? Specifically, it's asking which temperature range the afternoon peak will fall into — think of it as guessing the highest number on a thermometer that day. The ranges on offer are roughly 'very hot' (92–93°F), 'very, very hot' (94–95°F), and 'extremely hot' (96–97°F). For context, all three options are well above a typical New York June day, which averages around 80°F.

OutcomeYesNo
94-95°F
96-97°F
92-93°F
90-91°F
98-99°F
100°F or higher
88-89°F
86-87°F
81°F or below
82-83°F

Order Book

94-95°F

PriceSharesTotal
58.0¢30$17
57.0¢70$40
52.0¢10$5
51.0¢10$5
50.0¢28$14
49.0¢94$46
47.0¢150$71
46.0¢734$338
45.0¢867$390
44.0¢35$15
56.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
42.0¢116$49
41.0¢935$383
40.0¢1.3k$523
39.0¢1.6k$605
38.0¢8$3
37.0¢57$21
33.0¢60$20
32.0¢53$17
31.0¢94$29
30.0¢61$18
$1.7k bids$941 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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94-95°F

43%