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Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 13?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 13?

Resolves Jul 13, 2026·$56.5k 24h vol
$56.5k total volume

78-79°F

25%+1.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will San Francisco get on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it's asking which 2-degree temperature band will contain the single highest temperature reading of the day — so if the peak temperature is 79°F, the '78–79°F' outcome wins. The location is San Francisco International Airport (SFO), which sits a few miles south of the city center near the bay. July is typically San Francisco's foggier, cooler summer month, so the ranges here — mid-to-high 70s and low 80s — reflect that mild coastal climate.

OutcomeYesNo
78-79°F
76-77°F
80-81°F
74-75°F
82-83°F
84-85°F
73°F or below
86-87°F
88-89°F
92°F or higher

Order Book

78-79°F

PriceSharesTotal
43.0¢83$35
41.0¢51$21
39.0¢32$12
38.0¢10$4
37.0¢30$11
36.0¢10$4
34.0¢82$28
30.0¢97$29
29.0¢48$14
28.0¢17$5
26.0¢last trade
6.0¢ spread
22.0¢76$17
21.0¢152$32
20.0¢20$4
14.0¢31$4
13.0¢145$19
12.0¢130$16
9.0¢114$10
8.0¢184$15
7.0¢460$32
6.0¢55$3
$152 bids$163 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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78-79°F

26%