← Markets
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 20?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 20?

Resolves Jul 20, 2026·$13.1k 24h vol
$13.1k total volume

72-73°F

40%+10.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 20, 2026, how hot will it get in San Francisco? Specifically, it asks which temperature range — like 72–73°F or 70–71°F — will match the single highest temperature reading of that day, measured at SFO airport. A 'Yes' for any given range means the thermometer peaked somewhere inside those two degrees. It's essentially a group guess about a single afternoon high, broken into narrow two-degree bands.

OutcomeYesNo
72-73°F
70-71°F
74-75°F
76-77°F
68-69°F
66-67°F
78-79°F
64-65°F
63°F or below
80-81°F

Order Book

72-73°F

PriceSharesTotal
49.0¢5$2
48.0¢53$26
47.0¢10$5
45.0¢10$5
44.0¢465$205
43.0¢62$27
42.0¢45$19
41.0¢61$25
37.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
38.0¢227$86
37.0¢625$231
36.0¢70$25
30.0¢55$17
29.0¢212$61
26.0¢20$5
23.0¢452$104
22.0¢1.9k$415
$945 bids$313 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

72-73°F

44%