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Highest temperature in Seoul on June 12?

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$29.4k 24h vol
$35.2k total volume·Open for 1 days

25°C

39%+11.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in the Seoul area on June 12, 2026? The options are specific temperature readings — 24°C, 25°C, or 26°C (roughly 75°F, 77°F, and 79°F). A 'Yes' on 25°C, for example, means the thermometer peaked at exactly 25 degrees that day — not a range, but a single whole-number reading. The market currently puts 25°C as the most likely outcome at 39%, followed by 24°C at 31%, and 26°C at 17%.

OutcomeYesNo
25°C
24°C
26°C
23°C
27°C or higher
22°C
21°C
20°C
17°C or below
18°C

Order Book

25°C

PriceSharesTotal
50.0¢13$7
49.0¢46$23
48.0¢91$44
45.0¢10$5
44.0¢5$2
43.0¢73$31
42.0¢38$16
41.0¢24$10
40.0¢48$19
39.0¢6.9k$2.7k
61.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
38.0¢90$34
37.0¢374$139
36.0¢13$5
32.0¢114$37
31.0¢273$85
30.0¢6$2
29.0¢20$6
28.0¢117$33
27.0¢60$16
25.0¢106$27
$382 bids$2.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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25°C

39%