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Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?

Resolves Jun 10, 2026·$147.5k 24h vol
$162.7k total volume·Open for 2 days

28°C

100%+74.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on June 10, 2026, what will the highest temperature of the day be at Shanghai's Pudong International Airport, measured in whole degrees Celsius? The options are 28°C (about 82°F), 29°C (about 84°F), or 30°C (about 86°F) — think of it as predicting whether Shanghai will have a mild early-summer day, a warm one, or a noticeably hot one. The market currently puts about an 80% chance on 28°C being the peak.

OutcomeYesNo
28°C
23°C or below
24°C
25°C
26°C
27°C
29°C
30°C
31°C
32°C

Order Book

28°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢last trade
99.9¢1.8k$1.8k
99.8¢153$153
99.5¢6$6
99.4¢30$30
99.3¢407$404
99.2¢230$228
99.1¢90$89
99.0¢262$259
98.0¢20$20
97.5¢62$60
$3.0k bids$0 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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28°C

100%