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Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?

Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?

Resolves Jun 12, 2026·$37.4k 24h vol
$46.1k total volume·Open for 2 days

20°C

91%+61.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: what will the hottest point of the day be in Warsaw on June 12, 2026? Not the average — the single highest temperature reading that day. The three options are 18°C, 19°C, or 20°C, which in everyday terms is a mild-to-warm early-summer day, roughly 64–68°F. The market is currently split, with 19°C seen as most likely, followed by 20°C, then 18°C.

OutcomeYesNo
20°C
21°C
22°C
19°C
23°C
14°C or below
15°C
16°C
17°C
18°C

Order Book

20°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢391$387
98.0¢313$307
97.0¢123$119
96.0¢253$243
95.0¢107$101
94.0¢82$77
93.0¢98$91
92.0¢8$7
89.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
87.0¢53$46
82.0¢12$10
73.0¢16$12
48.0¢43$21
34.0¢63$21
33.0¢33$11
30.0¢9$3
29.0¢14$4
28.0¢22$6
16.0¢7$1
$134 bids$1.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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20°C

91%