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Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?

Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$16.8k 24h vol
$21.4k total volume·Open for 1 days

17°C

51%+17.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on a single day in Wellington, New Zealand, how warm will it get? Specifically, will the highest temperature of the day land at 16°C, 17°C, or 18°C — roughly the difference between a cool winter day and a slightly milder one. June 15 is mid-winter in Wellington (New Zealand's seasons are flipped from the northern hemisphere), so we're talking about chilly daytime highs, not summer heat. The market currently favors 17°C, with 16°C close behind.

OutcomeYesNo
17°C
16°C
18°C
15°C
19°C
20°C
11°C or below
12°C
13°C
14°C

Order Book

17°C

PriceSharesTotal
67.0¢103$69
66.0¢100$66
60.0¢16$10
59.0¢15$9
58.0¢10$6
57.0¢5$3
56.0¢13$7
54.0¢107$58
53.0¢90$48
52.0¢162$84
49.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
50.0¢98$49
47.0¢172$81
46.0¢70$32
45.0¢60$27
44.0¢8$4
42.0¢5$2
41.0¢60$25
40.0¢151$60
38.0¢20$8
37.0¢100$37
$324 bids$359 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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17°C

51%