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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?

Resolves Jun 11, 2026·$25.5k 24h vol
$37.2k total volume·Open for 2 days

25°C

96%+76.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how cool will Hong Kong get overnight on June 11, 2026 — specifically, what will the single lowest temperature reading be that day? The three options are buckets: around 25°C (roughly 77°F), 24°C (75°F), or 23°C (73°F). A 'Yes' on 25°C means the coolest moment of that day stays in the mid-to-upper 25s Celsius; lower options win if the temperature dips a degree or two further.

OutcomeYesNo
25°C
24°C
23°C
21°C or below
22°C
26°C
29°C
30°C
31°C or higher
27°C

Order Book

25°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢565$560
98.0¢190$186
97.0¢40$39
3.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
95.0¢25$24
91.0¢26$24
90.0¢12$11
86.0¢6$5
83.0¢30$25
82.0¢67$55
80.0¢267$214
62.0¢107$66
60.0¢100$60
41.0¢13$5
$489 bids$785 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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25°C

94%