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Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026·$23.3k 24h vol
$23.8k total volume·Open for 1 days

22°C

92%+67.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on the night and morning of June 15, 2026, what will the coldest recorded temperature be at Shanghai's Pudong Airport? The options are 20°C, 21°C, or 22°C — all fairly warm, since mid-June in Shanghai is early summer. A 'Yes' on 22°C means the overnight low stays relatively warm; a 'Yes' on 20°C means the morning dips a bit cooler than expected for that time of year.

OutcomeYesNo
22°C
21°C
20°C
19°C
18°C
17°C or below
23°C
24°C
25°C
26°C

Order Book

22°C

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢135$134
98.0¢75$74
97.0¢101$98
96.0¢75$72
6.0¢last trade
9.0¢ spread
87.0¢11$10
85.0¢6$5
80.0¢10$8
79.0¢10$8
68.0¢9$6
61.0¢25$15
37.0¢8$3
30.0¢6$2
11.0¢38$4
4.0¢100$4
$64 bids$378 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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22°C

80%