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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$8.4k 24h vol·tech
$45.0k total volume·Open for 7 days

July 17

63%+42.6%
OutcomeYesNo
July 17
No release by July 31
July 7
July 18
July 9
July 23
July 24
July 14
July 16
July 15

Order Book

July 17

PriceSharesTotal
73.7¢10$7
73.0¢5$4
72.7¢10$7
72.6¢7$5
70.5¢75$53
70.4¢40$28
70.3¢10$7
70.2¢22$15
69.0¢12$8
68.9¢6$4
61.8¢last trade
12.7¢ spread
56.2¢5$3
56.1¢71$40
56.0¢15$8
54.4¢100$54
54.2¢137$75
42.1¢26$11
42.0¢54$23
41.8¢200$84
37.9¢50$19
37.0¢50$19
$335 bids$139 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

July 17

63%