NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
Nikita Kucherov
New here?
Understand this market
This market is asking: which player will win the NHL's most valuable player award for the 2025–26 season? The Hart Memorial Trophy is the award NHL voters give each year to the player they judge most valuable to his team. A 'Yes' on any listed player means that player wins the trophy; everyone else resolves 'No.' It's a single-winner award — only one player takes it home.
Order Book
Nikita Kucherov
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Read the full market guide →Connor McDavid is the heaviest-backed contender to win the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in current prediction market trading, with Nathan MacKinnon and Nikita Kucherov also drawing significant attention. Volume is heavily concentrated on this small cluster of elite forwards. The market resolves according to the official NHL announcement of the Hart Trophy winner, with a deadline of 30 June 2026.
Market structure
The market lists 139 named outcomes, yet trading volume is heavily concentrated on a very small cluster of three players. Resolution is determined by the official NHL Hart Memorial Trophy announcement, which typically follows the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. If a listed player is not named as a finalist, that outcome resolves No. The primary resolution source is official NHL information, with credible reporting as a secondary fallback.
Background
The Hart Memorial Trophy is awarded annually to the NHL player judged most valuable to his team during the regular season, as voted by members of the Professional Hockey Writers' Association. It is the league's most prestigious individual honour. Connor McDavid has won the award four times, cementing his status as the benchmark of league-wide excellence. Nathan MacKinnon is a two-time winner and perennial contender. Nikita Kucherov won the award in 2019 and has remained among the league's elite producers. The 2025–26 season is ongoing, meaning regular-season performance, injury developments, and team success will all influence writers' voting before ballots close.
Key factors
Hart Trophy voting is conducted by the Professional Hockey Writers' Association and reflects regular-season performance rather than playoff results. Key variables include point totals and per-game production, team record and a player's perceived impact on that record, availability — extended injury absences can remove a player from contention regardless of rate statistics — and narrative momentum built across the second half of the season when voter impressions solidify. Players on struggling teams historically face a higher bar, as the 'value to his team' framing rewards players seen as carrying their franchises. A dominant performance stretch run by any contender, or an injury to a frontrunner, could significantly shift the distribution of market attention across the remaining 139 listed outcomes.
FAQ
How is the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner market resolved?
The market resolves to the player officially announced as the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy winner by the NHL. If a listed player is not named as a finalist, their outcome resolves No. Official NHL information is the primary source, with credible reporting used as a secondary fallback.
When does the Hart Trophy Winner market resolve?
The market has a resolution deadline of 30 June 2026. The Hart Trophy is typically announced during the NHL Awards ceremony, which follows the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, generally occurring in June.
What happens if the NHL season is shortened or cancelled before the Hart Trophy is awarded?
The resolution criteria specify the official NHL Hart Trophy announcement as the trigger. If no award is made — for example due to a season cancellation — the market would lack a resolution event, and outcomes would likely be subject to the platform's standard rules for unresolved markets.
What does the Hart Trophy market currently show?
Trading is heavily concentrated on three players: Connor McDavid is the heaviest-backed contender, followed by Nikita Kucherov and Nathan MacKinnon. Despite 139 listed outcomes, the vast majority of market activity is confined to this small cluster of established stars.
Paridesk is not a regulated financial advisor. The information above is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction markets carry risk of total loss. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.
Related Markets
Nikita Kucherov
49%