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Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$14.4k 24h vol·tech
$33.6k total volume·Open for 29 days

Anthropic

81%+42.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
Google
OpenAI
xAI
DeepSeek
Z.ai
Moonshot
Alibaba
Mistral
Meituan

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
92.0¢805$741
91.0¢603$549
90.0¢283$255
89.0¢234$208
88.0¢205$180
87.0¢413$359
86.0¢305$262
85.0¢68$58
84.0¢50$42
83.0¢315$261
20.0¢last trade
4.0¢ spread
79.0¢5$4
78.0¢235$183
73.0¢278$203
70.0¢11$8
69.0¢132$91
68.0¢405$275
67.0¢218$146
66.0¢936$618
65.0¢886$576
64.0¢6$4
$2.1k bids$2.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Anthropic

81%