Which NFL players will be traded?
Kayvon Thibodeaux
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Understand this market
This market is asking whether specific NFL players will be moved to a new team before July 22, 2026. There are three separate yes/no questions here — one for each player: Kayvon Thibodeaux (a pass rusher), George Pickens (a wide receiver), and D.K. Metcalf (also a wide receiver). A 'Yes' means the player was officially traded to a different NFL team before the deadline. A 'No' means they stayed put — whether by choice, extension, or no deal being reached.
Order Book
Kayvon Thibodeaux
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Read the full market guide →AJ Brown is the overwhelmingly heaviest-backed outcome in this NFL trade market, with volume concentrated almost entirely on his name. Kayvon Thibodeaux and De'Von Achane represent the next most heavily traded outcomes, forming a small cluster of contenders with meaningful market interest. All outcomes resolve 'Yes' if the listed player is officially traded by 22 July 2026.
Market structure
The market covers 16 named NFL players, each resolving independently as a binary 'Yes' or 'No' outcome. Volume is heavily concentrated on a single player, with a secondary cluster of two further names attracting moderate interest, and the remaining outcomes drawing minimal market activity. Resolution relies on official NFL confirmation or a consensus of credible reporting, with a deadline of 22 July 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
Background
NFL trade activity intensifies during distinct windows: around the March legal tampering and free agency period, the April draft, and the summer before training camps open in late July. Trades outside these windows do occur but are less common. The July deadline in this market captures the full offseason cycle, including post-draft roster reshuffling and any moves made as teams finalise their 53-man roster plans. Several players listed here have featured in trade speculation during the 2025 offseason due to contract situations, roster changes, or reported interest from other franchises. The presence of established veterans alongside younger players reflects the range of circumstances that generate trade rumours, from salary cap pressure and positional depth to relationship breakdowns and team rebuild strategies.
Key factors
Resolution for each player depends on whether their current team executes an official trade before the deadline. Key structural factors include a player's contract status — those in the final year of a deal or carrying high cap numbers are more frequently involved in trade discussions. Team roster construction decisions following the NFL Draft can create surplus at a position, prompting moves. A player's reported willingness to remain with their current team, or any public statements about seeking a trade, can accelerate or stall negotiations. Salary cap constraints at both the acquiring and trading team affect feasibility. The closer the deadline moves to late July, the less time teams have to complete trades before training camps create practical barriers to transactions. Any franchise tag complications, injury histories, or disciplinary matters can also influence whether a deal materialises. Trades agreed in principle must still clear league processing to count as official.
FAQ
How is the 'Which NFL players will be traded?' market resolved?
Each player resolves 'Yes' if they are officially traded by 22 July 2026 at 11:59PM ET. The primary resolution source is official NFL transaction records, with a consensus of credible sports reporting used as a fallback where necessary.
When does the NFL player trade market resolve?
The deadline is 22 July 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Any trade completed and officially processed by the NFL before that timestamp qualifies. Trades agreed after that point, even if imminent, would not count toward 'Yes' resolution.
What happens if a player is released rather than traded?
A release, cut, or waiver claim does not constitute a trade. Only an official trade transaction between two NFL franchises satisfies the 'Yes' resolution criteria. A player signing elsewhere as a free agent following release would also not resolve 'Yes'.
What does the NFL trade market currently show?
AJ Brown is the heaviest-backed outcome by a substantial margin, with near-unanimous market sentiment. Kayvon Thibodeaux and De'Von Achane form the next tier of meaningful interest. Most remaining players, including Mike Evans, Travis Etienne, and DK Metcalf, attract minimal volume.
Paridesk is not a regulated financial advisor. The information above is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction markets carry risk of total loss. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.
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