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Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$14.0k 24h vol·sports
3 comments·$95.8k total volume·Open for 49 days

No Replacement

100%+16.4%

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Understand this market

This market is asking whether Iran will be removed from the 2026 FIFA World Cup and replaced by another team — and if so, which team takes their spot. Iran has already qualified for the tournament. For this market to resolve to anything other than 'No Replacement,' FIFA would need to officially kick Iran out and hand their place to a different country. Right now, the market overwhelmingly expects that not to happen — Iran stays in, and no replacement is named.

OutcomeYesNo
No Replacement
Italy
Other
Bolivia
UAE

Order Book

No Replacement

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢415$415
99.8¢781$779
0.3¢last trade
0.3¢ spread
99.5¢375$373
99.4¢121$120
99.2¢25$25
97.7¢500$489
97.5¢71$69
97.3¢10$10
96.0¢300$288
95.9¢20$19
90.1¢300$270
90.0¢10$9
$1.7k bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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No Replacement

100%