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Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$532 24h vol·politics
$3.4k total volume·Open for 6 days

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

34%-18.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Order Book

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

PriceSharesTotal
71.0¢161$114
69.0¢508$351
68.0¢575$391
65.0¢284$185
63.0¢135$85
62.0¢511$317
48.0¢10$5
37.0¢30$11
36.0¢212$76
35.0¢280$98
33.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
33.0¢871$288
32.0¢153$49
19.0¢1.7k$330
18.0¢1.1k$193
16.0¢200$32
15.0¢1.3k$193
13.0¢384$50
12.0¢3.0k$360
11.0¢4.6k$501
10.0¢1.0k$100
$2.1k bids$1.6k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

34%