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World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination

Resolves Jul 19, 2026·$51.9k 24h vol·sports
1 comments·$353.0k total volume·Open for 36 days

Semifinals

54%+38.3%

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Understand this market

This market is asking how far Argentina goes in the 2026 FIFA World Cup — and specifically, where their run ends. A 'Semifinals' result means they get knocked out at that stage without reaching the final. 'Final' means they reach the championship match but lose it. 'Champion' means they win the whole tournament. There is no option for an earlier exit, so the market is already assuming Argentina reaches at least the semifinals — which tells you something about where the tournament currently stands.

OutcomeYesNo
Semifinals
Final
Champion

Order Book

Semifinals

PriceSharesTotal
56.4¢560$316
56.3¢100$56
56.0¢150$84
55.9¢518$290
55.6¢514$286
55.5¢1.3k$729
54.7¢300$164
54.6¢180$98
54.5¢5$3
54.4¢279$152
54.4¢last trade
1.1¢ spread
53.3¢3.6k$1.9k
53.2¢300$160
53.1¢33$18
53.0¢2.0k$1.1k
52.2¢1.3k$686
52.1¢112$58
52.0¢150$78
51.8¢1.7k$869
51.4¢100$51
51.0¢500$255
$5.1k bids$2.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Argentina is eliminated. If Argentina wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Argentina is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Argentina based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Semifinals

54%