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 World Cup: Group D Last Place

World Cup: Group D Last Place

Resolves Jul 20, 2026·$7.5k 24h vol·sports
$11.0k total volume·Open for 8 days

Paraguay

49%+13.5%

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Understand this market

This market asks which team will finish in last place — fourth out of four — in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage. In a World Cup group, four teams each play three games, and the one with the worst record at the end goes home with the wooden spoon. A Yes on Paraguay means Paraguay finishes bottom of the group; a Yes on Australia means Australia does; and so on. Türkiye finishing last is currently seen as much less likely by the market.

OutcomeYesNo
Paraguay
Australia
Türkiye
USA

Order Book

Paraguay

PriceSharesTotal
60.0¢100$60
58.0¢158$92
57.0¢80$46
56.0¢58$32
55.0¢58$32
54.0¢350$189
53.0¢503$267
52.0¢51$27
51.0¢612$312
50.0¢24$12
46.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
48.0¢25$12
47.0¢525$247
39.0¢100$39
8.0¢5$0
7.0¢5$0
6.0¢6$0
5.0¢6$0
4.0¢15$1
1.0¢35$0
$300 bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Paraguay

49%