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World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

Resolves Jul 19, 2026·$11.5k 24h vol·sports
1 comments·$18.8k total volume·Open for 7 days

Round of 32

35%-15.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how far will Japan go in the 2026 FIFA World Cup before they're knocked out? The options cover the most likely exits — going out in the group stage (the first round, before the knockouts begin), the Round of 32 (the first knockout round, new to this expanded tournament), or the Round of 16 (one step further). A 'Champion' option also exists if Japan wins the whole thing. Right now, the market puts the highest chance on Japan exiting in the Round of 32.

OutcomeYesNo
Round of 32
Round of 16
Group Stage
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Champion
Final

Order Book

Round of 32

PriceSharesTotal
58.0¢40$23
57.0¢30$17
56.0¢19$11
53.0¢67$36
51.0¢40$20
50.0¢30$15
44.0¢104$46
42.0¢20$9
39.0¢122$48
38.0¢71$27
37.0¢last trade
6.0¢ spread
32.0¢35$11
31.0¢143$44
30.0¢5$2
29.0¢60$17
16.0¢7$1
11.0¢30$3
10.0¢100$10
8.0¢100$8
7.0¢55$4
5.0¢20$1
$102 bids$251 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Round of 32

34%