Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X (formerly Twitter) in a specific seven-day window? You pick a range — say, 160 to 179 posts — and if his actual count lands in that range, that option wins. It's not about what he says or whether any particular event happens; it's purely a count of how active he is on his own platform during those seven days. A third-party tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com automatically counts Musk's posts between July 10 at noon ET and July 17 at noon ET. Original posts, reposts, and quote posts all count. Replies do NOT count, with one exception: replies that appear on his main feed (not buried in a thread) do count. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. Whichever numbered range matches the final tally is the one that resolves as the winner. No recent news was provided that is relevant to Musk's posting volume this week. The one headline supplied is about health policy cuts and has no clear connection to his X activity. What would actually matter here is whether Musk is unusually busy, traveling, involved in a public controversy, or notably quiet — that kind of context isn't available right now. Musk's posting habits are genuinely unpredictable from day to day. He can post dozens of times in a single afternoon during a controversy, then go relatively quiet for days. No one outside his immediate life knows what's coming — a news event, a business crisis, or simply his mood can swing the weekly total dramatically. The market's odds are spread fairly evenly across several ranges, which reflects that honest uncertainty: even people watching him closely can't pin down a tight number.

The odds right now

• 140-15919%
• 160-17918%
• 180-19916%
• 200-21913%
• 120-13911%
• 220-2398%
• 240-2595%
• 100-1194%
• 260-2793%
• 280-2992%
• 80-991%
• 300-3191%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 17, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 10 12:00 PM ET to July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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