Elon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Elon Musk post on X (formerly Twitter) in one specific week? The window runs from Monday July 14 to Monday July 21, 2026 — exactly seven days. The market is split into ranges, so you're picking a bucket: will he post 160-179 times, 180-199 times, 200-219 times, and so on. To picture the scale: 180 posts in a week is roughly 25 posts per day, every day, with no breaks. The market settles based on a specific automated tracker — xtracker.polymarket.com — that counts Musk's main-feed posts during the window. Original posts, reposts, and quote-posts all count. Replies do NOT count, unless they appear on the main feed rather than as a direct reply thread. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. The whichever range bucket matches the final count is the one that resolves Yes; all others resolve No. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market — they all concern a company called ELEKTROS and EV charging infrastructure, which has nothing to do with Musk's posting habits on X. To track this market meaningfully, the useful thing to watch would be Musk's actual activity on X in the days leading up to the window, and whether any major news events or controversies draw him into posting more heavily. Musk's posting volume swings dramatically depending on what's happening in the world and in his life. A quiet week might land in the 100s; a week full of political controversy, product launches, or public feuds can push the count much higher. No one can reliably predict his mood or attention. The market currently spreads probability across multiple ranges — with the top three buckets (160–219) sharing roughly 46% combined — which itself signals that participants genuinely disagree about where the week will land.

The odds right now

• 180-19918%
• 200-21915%
• 160-17913%
• 220-23913%
• 240-2599%
• 140-1599%
• 260-2797%
• 120-1396%
• 280-2995%
• 100-1193%
• 300-3192%
• 320-3391%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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