World Cup: Lamine Yamal Goals: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how many goals Lamine Yamal, Spain's young winger, scores at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. There are three separate questions here, each with a different threshold: does he score at least 2 goals, at least 3, or at least 6? A Yes on any of them means he hit or passed that number across all his World Cup matches combined. A No means he fell short, whether because he scored fewer goals or did not play at all. Each question settles Yes or No based on Yamal's official goal tally from FIFA's scoresheet once the tournament ends. Only goals in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count, and neither do own goals. If Yamal misses the tournament for any reason, all three questions settle No. One important edge case: if the World Cup is cancelled or postponed past August 2, 2026, the markets settle at 50-50 rather than Yes or No. One headline is relevant here: a former player reportedly named Spain and Argentina as his picks for the 2026 World Cup final. If accurate, that suggests Spain is expected to go deep in the tournament, which would give Yamal more matches and therefore more chances to score. The other headlines in the provided news have no connection to this market. The main tension is between Yamal's talent and how hard it is to score multiple World Cup goals. Scoring 2 or more is the threshold the market finds most plausible, but only at 28%, meaning most participants think even that is unlikely. World Cup goals are rare: defenders focus on stopping stars like Yamal, matches can be decided by other players, and a single injury ends everything. The 6-goal threshold is priced at just 3%, reflecting how extraordinary that total would be for any player.

Price history

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of goals Lamine Yamal scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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