← Markets
Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$174 24h vol·tech
$174 total volume

July 24

42%-3.0%
OutcomeYesNo
July 24
July 31

Order Book

July 24

PriceSharesTotal
91.0¢7$7
84.0¢6$5
79.0¢500$395
76.0¢500$380
73.0¢800$584
70.0¢27$19
65.0¢120$78
64.0¢116$74
21.0¢last trade
44.0¢ spread
20.0¢10$2
19.0¢33$6
18.0¢20$4
17.0¢300$51
16.0¢500$80
11.0¢73$8
10.0¢900$90
4.0¢21$1
$242 bids$1.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify. Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

July 24

43%