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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$6.4k 24h vol·geopolitics
32 comments·$323.0k total volume·Open for 157 days

December 31

99%+1.5%

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Understand this market

This market asks whether Gustavo Petro stops being Colombia's president at any point before a given date. A Yes means he's gone — through resignation, removal, detention, or any other reason that ends his presidency, even briefly. A No means he's still in office when the deadline arrives. There are two separate versions of this question: one ending December 31, 2025 (priced at 99% Yes) and one ending June 30, 2026 (priced at 8% Yes).

OutcomeYesNo
December 31
June 30

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢867$866
99.6¢177$176
99.5¢100$100
99.4¢124$123
0.7¢last trade
1.5¢ spread
97.9¢48$47
97.8¢25$24
97.5¢322$314
97.4¢366$357
97.0¢117$114
96.4¢500$482
95.9¢450$432
95.0¢1.0k$950
93.0¢517$480
92.1¢790$727
$3.9k bids$1.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colombia’s current leader, President Gustavo Petro, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Petro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Colombia within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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December 31

99%