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Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$13.9k 24h vol·politics
3 comments·$13.9k total volume

June 30

48%+2.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking whether the Trump administration will officially release government documents about UFOs or extraterrestrial life — documents that have never been public before — and specifically, by which date that happens. There are three possible deadlines: June 15, June 22, or June 30, 2026. A 'Yes' on any date means new, previously hidden files actually become available to the public by that cutoff. A 'No' means they don't release anything new in time, or they only announce a future release without actually delivering the files.

OutcomeYesNo
June 30
June 22
June 15

Order Book

June 30

PriceSharesTotal
82.0¢188$154
81.0¢5$4
78.0¢500$390
77.0¢100$77
75.0¢20$15
70.0¢300$210
69.0¢1.0k$690
68.0¢182$124
63.0¢100$63
62.0¢5$3
33.0¢last trade
29.0¢ spread
33.0¢5$2
32.0¢8$2
31.0¢10$3
28.0¢555$155
27.0¢20$5
22.0¢500$110
14.0¢75$11
13.0¢143$19
12.0¢350$42
10.0¢500$50
$399 bids$1.7k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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June 30

48%