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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Resolves Jun 18, 2026·$11.0k 24h vol·politics
1 comments·$31.1k total volume·Open for 5 days

Rate / Cut

95%+42.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking whether Kevin Warsh will say specific words or phrases out loud during a scheduled Federal Reserve press conference on June 17, 2026. The Fed (short for Federal Reserve) is the U.S. central bank, and it holds regular press conferences after deciding whether to raise, lower, or hold interest rates. Warsh is expected to lead that meeting. Each phrase — like 'Rate / Cut,' 'Good Afternoon,' or 'Maximum Employment' — is its own separate Yes/No question: did he say it, or not?

OutcomeYesNo
Rate / Cut
Good Afternoon
Stable / Stability
Maximum Employment
Chair
Jerome / Powell
Balance Sheet
Artificial Intelligence / AI
FED
Job Market

Order Book

Rate / Cut

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢648$642
98.0¢1.9k$1.8k
97.0¢501$486
96.0¢1.0k$970
95.0¢1.2k$1.1k
5.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
94.0¢806$758
93.0¢1.2k$1.1k
92.0¢315$290
91.0¢120$109
70.0¢40$28
69.0¢130$90
68.0¢500$340
67.0¢10$7
45.0¢11$5
44.0¢28$12
$2.8k bids$5.0k asks

Resolution Criteria

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

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Rate / Cut

95%