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Which company has the best AI Agent end of July?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of July?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$11.0k 24h vol·tech
$21.8k total volume·Open for 8 days

Anthropic

77%+33.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
OpenAI
Google
DeepSeek
ByteDance
Z.ai
Meta
Baidu
Moonshot
Amazon

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
93.0¢938$872
92.0¢216$198
91.0¢203$185
90.0¢445$401
89.0¢313$279
88.0¢6$5
87.0¢751$653
86.0¢1.2k$1.0k
81.0¢556$451
80.0¢135$108
81.0¢last trade
6.0¢ spread
74.0¢76$57
73.0¢78$57
69.0¢15$10
55.0¢20$11
54.0¢27$15
50.0¢8$4
48.0¢80$38
47.0¢200$94
42.0¢230$97
32.0¢654$209
$592 bids$4.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Anthropic

77%