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Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$1.9k 24h vol·tech
$189.6k total volume·Open for 145 days

1560

35%-6.5%
OutcomeYesNo
1560
1580
1600

Order Book

1560

PriceSharesTotal
44.0¢39$17
43.0¢18$8
42.0¢499$210
41.0¢900$369
40.0¢85$34
39.0¢134$52
37.0¢81$30
36.0¢60$22
33.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
35.0¢5$2
33.0¢20$7
32.0¢624$200
31.0¢440$136
30.0¢104$31
26.0¢77$20
25.0¢109$27
17.0¢47$8
$431 bids$741 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

1560

35%