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Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$120 24h vol·politics
$63.9k total volume·Open for 13 days

Zohran Mamdani

31%-12.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Zohran Mamdani
Keir Starmer
Jerome Powell
Freidrich Merz
Benjamin Netanyahu
Jimmy Kimmel
Emmanuel Macron
Candace Owens
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Megyn Kelly

Order Book

Zohran Mamdani

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢28$28
95.0¢10$10
94.0¢8$8
80.0¢5$4
75.0¢250$188
74.0¢7$5
46.0¢15$7
30.0¢ spread
16.0¢5$1
1.0¢78$1
$2 bids$249 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Zohran Mamdani

31%