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Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Resolves Jul 20, 2026·$21.2k 24h vol·sports
2 comments·$87.4k total volume·Open for 5 days

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

32%+0.0%

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Understand this market

This market asks whether a country that has never lifted the World Cup trophy before will finally do it in 2026. Eight countries have won before — Brazil, Germany, Argentina, France, Italy, Uruguay, England, and Spain. A 'Yes' means one of the roughly 40+ other competing nations breaks through and wins it all for the first time. A 'No' means one of those same eight familiar champions wins again.

OutcomeYesNo
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Order Book

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

PriceSharesTotal
43.0¢100$43
42.0¢100$42
41.0¢100$41
40.0¢100$40
39.0¢807$315
36.0¢1.0k$365
35.0¢2.0k$694
34.0¢2.3k$770
33.0¢1.2k$388
32.0¢90$29
30.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
31.0¢35$11
30.0¢3.7k$1.1k
29.0¢8.2k$2.4k
28.0¢10.0k$2.8k
27.0¢5.0k$1.4k
26.0¢5.0k$1.3k
25.0¢10.0k$2.5k
21.0¢807$169
20.0¢175$35
19.0¢639$121
$11.8k bids$2.7k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

32%