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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2025·$21.7k 24h vol·politics
$8.0M total volume·Open for 423 days

December 31, 2026

89%-3.2%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
September 30, 2026
August 31, 2026
July 31, 2026
July 19, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
91.0¢520$473
90.9¢215$195
90.8¢515$468
90.7¢800$726
90.6¢1.1k$1.0k
90.5¢700$634
90.4¢221$200
90.0¢61$55
90.0¢last trade
1.4¢ spread
88.6¢75$66
88.5¢39$34
88.4¢5$4
88.3¢400$353
88.2¢985$869
88.0¢668$588
87.9¢228$200
87.8¢500$439
$2.6k bids$3.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.

December 31, 2026

89%