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World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Resolves Jul 13, 2026·$41.3k 24h vol·sports
1 comments·$182.5k total volume·Open for 8 days

Spain

45%-6.0%

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Understand this market

This market asks a simple question: will this specific national team make it to the final four of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? The World Cup has 48 teams, and only 4 reach the semifinals — so this is asking whether a given team survives all the way through the group stage, the round of 32, the round of 16, and the quarterfinals. A Yes means they are one of those final four teams. A No means they were knocked out before that point.

OutcomeYesNo
Spain
France
England
Argentina
Brazil
Portugal
Germany
Netherlands
Belgium
Norway

Order Book

Spain

PriceSharesTotal
59.0¢100$59
58.0¢100$58
55.0¢500$275
54.0¢316$170
50.0¢10.1k$5.0k
49.0¢400$196
48.0¢600$288
47.0¢392$184
46.0¢1,000$460
45.0¢1.5k$675
55.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
44.0¢624$274
43.0¢1.9k$806
40.0¢316$126
39.0¢6.7k$2.6k
21.0¢1.0k$210
20.0¢10.0k$2.0k
3.0¢200$6
$6.0k bids$7.4k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Spain

45%