Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in Amsterdam on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it comes down to three possibilities — the day peaks at 25°C, 26°C, or 27°C (roughly 77°F, 79°F, or 81°F). Think of it as guessing whether that summer day will feel comfortably warm, a bit warmer, or genuinely hot. The measurement comes from one specific weather station at Schiphol Airport, not from a city-wide average. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on July 13, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 25.7°C would count as 25°C, not 26°C. The result is locked in once the first data point from July 14 appears on that page. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. There is no recent news available that directly relates to this market. For a weather question this specific and this far in the future, what would matter most is long-range seasonal forecasting for the Netherlands in mid-July — but reliable forecasts at that precision simply don't exist more than a week or two out. Weather prediction more than a year out is genuinely very hard. Even professional meteorologists can't reliably forecast a single day's high temperature that far in advance. Mid-July in Amsterdam typically sits in the mid-20s°C, which is why the market clusters tightly around 25–26°C — but any given day can surprise. A passing cold front or an unexpected heat wave could easily shift the result by several degrees. The narrow spread between the options means even small atmospheric changes matter a lot here.

The odds right now

• 26°C50%
• 25°C32%
• 27°C13%
• 24°C or below2%
• 28°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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