Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 21, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be at Kuala Lumpur's main airport? The three choices are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C, roughly 88°F, 90°F, or 91°F. Think of it as guessing the peak afternoon heat on a single specific day. The market currently leans toward 32°C being most likely, at 42%, followed by 33°C at 31%, and 31°C at 20%. The market settles, resolves, based on the single highest temperature reading logged at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on July 21, 2026, as recorded on the weather tracking site Wunderground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius, so 32.7°C would count as 32°C, not 33°C. It cannot finalize until the first data point from July 22 appears on that site, meaning very late readings on the 21st could still shift things before it locks. The only recent news provided is about flooding in the Rajouri and Poonch regions of India, that's a different country and a completely unrelated weather event. There is no relevant recent news about Kuala Lumpur's weather to point to here. The kind of update that would genuinely matter is a short-range weather forecast for the Kuala Lumpur area in the days leading up to July 21, 2026. July is deep in Kuala Lumpur's wet season, which makes daily peak temperatures harder to pin down than usual. A heavy afternoon rainstorm can cap the high at 31°C; a dry, sunny morning can push it to 33°C. The three outcomes are all reasonably close together, just a two-degree range total, so a single cloud system could swing the result. The market is spread fairly evenly across all three options, which reflects that genuine closeness honestly.

The odds right now

• 32°C41%
• 33°C32%
• 31°C21%
• 30°C4%
• 34°C3%
• 35°C1%
• 29°C1%
• 28°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%
• 27°C0%
• 26°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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