← Markets
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$15.3k 24h vol·politics
$793.8k total volume·Open for 17 days

Jimmy Kimmel

42%-8.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market asks whether Trump will personally insult any of three specific people — Jimmy Kimmel, Alex Jones, or Megyn Kelly — in a public statement before June 30, 2026. A 'Yes' means he says something clearly derogatory about one of them as a person: a put-down, a mocking nickname, calling them stupid or a failure, that kind of thing. A 'No' means he either doesn't mention them at all, or only disagrees with their work or views without attacking them personally.

OutcomeYesNo
Jimmy Kimmel
Nicolás Maduro
Megyn Kelly
Norah O'Donnell
Zohran Mamdani
Alex Jones
Keir Starmer
Emmanuel Macron
Freidrich Merz
Benjamin Netanyahu

Order Book

Jimmy Kimmel

PriceSharesTotal
94.0¢9$8
90.0¢21$19
89.0¢27$24
79.0¢157$124
77.0¢92$71
60.0¢21$13
59.0¢20$12
58.0¢41$24
56.0¢12$7
54.0¢38$21
46.0¢last trade
25.0¢ spread
29.0¢29$8
28.0¢9$3
27.0¢12$3
26.0¢20$5
9.0¢21$2
8.0¢106$8
6.0¢354$21
5.0¢325$16
4.0¢1.5k$59
3.0¢1.7k$50
$177 bids$322 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Read the full market guide →

Jimmy Kimmel

40%