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Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$18.3k 24h vol·geopolitics
$260.6k total volume·Open for 16 days

Emmanuel Macron

98%+50.4%

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Understand this market

This market asks a simple question: will Donald Trump have any verbal conversation — a phone call, video call, or in-person meeting — with each of these three world leaders during June 2026? Each leader (France's Macron, Britain's Starmer, Germany's Merz) is a separate Yes or No question. A 'Yes' just means the two men spoke out loud at some point during the month, in any setting. A 'No' means the entire month passed without any confirmed verbal contact.

OutcomeYesNo
Emmanuel Macron
Keir Starmer
Friedrich Merz
Mark Carney
Ursula von der Leyen
Lula da Silva
Mohammed bin Salman
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Mark Rutte
Ahmed al-Sharaa

Order Book

Emmanuel Macron

PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢358$358
99.6¢328$326
99.5¢110$110
99.4¢309$307
99.3¢86$85
3.5¢last trade
1.9¢ spread
97.4¢19$19
97.3¢59$57
96.6¢461$446
96.5¢267$257
95.9¢21$20
95.5¢632$604
93.1¢19$18
91.2¢140$128
91.0¢100$91
85.0¢51$43
$1.7k bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

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Emmanuel Macron

98%