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Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Resolves Jul 12, 2026·$16.5k 24h vol·tech
8 comments·$26.6k total volume·Open for 3 days

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

28%-22.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Order Book

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢30$14
47.0¢23$11
45.0¢100$45
41.0¢100$41
38.0¢11$4
37.0¢386$143
36.0¢258$93
35.0¢650$227
34.0¢272$93
30.0¢403$121
70.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
25.0¢500$125
22.0¢331$73
21.0¢1.3k$271
20.0¢1.4k$272
19.0¢870$165
18.0¢100$18
17.0¢359$61
16.0¢1.7k$278
15.0¢1.3k$188
13.0¢400$52
$1.5k bids$792 asks

Resolution Criteria

On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

28%