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Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?

Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$457 24h vol·geopolitics
$562 total volume·Open for 20 days

Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?

11%-39.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?

Order Book

Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?

PriceSharesTotal
31.0¢20$6
22.0¢10$2
21.0¢10$2
19.0¢20$4
17.0¢20$3
14.0¢274$38
13.0¢362$47
12.0¢40$5
10.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
10.0¢122$12
9.0¢422$38
8.0¢52$4
5.0¢9$0
4.0¢14$1
3.0¢402$12
2.0¢438$9
1.0¢1.0k$10
$86 bids$108 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering 2026 ranks China as #2 in total art market sales. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, total art market sales refers to both dealer and auction segments. If China is tied with another country for second greatest total art market sales, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve according to the annual Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering the 2026 calendar year. If no such report is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?

11%