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Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

Resolves Sep 9, 2026·$231 24h vol·economy
$6.9k total volume·Open for 5 days

300M

95%+45.2%
OutcomeYesNo
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Order Book

300M

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢65$64
97.9¢41$40
97.0¢26$25
96.5¢10$10
96.1¢170$163
96.0¢100$96
95.8¢8$8
95.6¢112$107
96.0¢last trade
0.8¢ spread
94.8¢60$57
94.0¢200$188
93.9¢134$126
92.6¢200$185
50.4¢18$9
50.3¢20$10
50.2¢209$105
34.2¢250$86
$765 bids$512 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

300M

95%