How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$51 24h vol·economy
$225.5k total volume·Open for 287 days
3.9%
10%-0.1%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
-0.8%
—
—
—
-2.0%
—
+0.9%
—
-2.3%
—
-0.4%
—
—
—
-1.3%
$51
Order Book
3.9%
PriceSharesTotal
79.9¢13$10
50.0¢40$20
49.0¢100$49
48.9¢80$39
47.0¢50$24
15.0¢148$22
14.0¢40$6
11.1¢45$5
8.9¢last trade
2.2¢ spread8.9¢52$5
8.8¢100$9
4.0¢10$0
3.9¢139$5
3.8¢120$5
3.5¢100$4
2.6¢7$0
2.5¢1.0k$25
$53 bids$175 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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3.9%
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