#1 song this week? (July 24): how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which single song will be streamed more than any other song on Spotify across the entire world during one specific week. A Yes on 'Dai Dai' by Shakira and Burna Boy means that song finishes at number one globally on Spotify's weekly chart for the week labeled July 24. A No means something else topped it. The other listed songs, Billie Jean and Stupid Song, are essentially placeholders given their current odds. The market settles based on the official Spotify global weekly chart for the week labeled July 24, which covers streams from the preceding Friday through Thursday. Spotify publishes this chart on Fridays, so the result should appear around July 25. If Spotify does not publish the chart by 11:59 PM ET on July 25, 2026, the market resolves as 'Other' rather than waiting indefinitely. The source is Spotify's official charts page, not any third-party ranking. None of the provided news headlines relate to this music chart question. There are no recent articles about Shakira, Burna Boy, Spotify charts, or any competing songs that would be relevant here. To track this market, the thing worth watching is whether any major new song releases or viral moments in the days before July 24 could challenge the current frontrunner for streaming dominance that week. At 99%, the market is treating this as nearly certain, so the honest question is simply whether something unexpected could happen. A surprise mega-viral song released in the same week could theoretically overtake 'Dai Dai', but displacing a song already commanding that kind of market confidence in a short window would be unusual. The small remaining uncertainty covers that unlikely scenario, plus the slim technical possibility that Spotify delays its chart and the market defaults to 'Other'.

The odds right now

• Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy100%
• Billie Jean - Michael Jackson0%
• Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo0%
• Babydoll - Dominic Fike0%
• Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo0%
• Wonderwall Remastered - Oasis0%
• Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj0%
• hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande0%
• SWIM - BTS0%
• Earrings - Malcolm Todd0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled July 24. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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